Financial Modelers' Manifesto


Paul Wilmott and Emanuel Derman have come out with a Financial Modelers' Manifesto.
Financial Modelers' Manifesto document
This Financial Modelers' Manifesto is a great read, especially for investors who sometimes place too much confidence in using model to evaluate financial assets and predict financial outcomes.


Excerpt from the Manifesto:
[

The Modelers' Hippocratic Oath
~ I will remember that I didn't make the world, and it doesn't satisfy my equations.
~ Though I will use models boldly to estimate value, I will not be overly impressed by mathematics.
~ I will never sacrifice reality for elegance without explaining why I have done so.
~ Nor will I give the people who use my model false comfort about its accuracy. Instead, I will make explicit its assumptions and oversights.
~ I understand that my work may have enormous effects on society and the economy, many of them beyond my comprehension.

]

Before this Oath, there is a manifesto.
Among many things,
it talks about :
why CDO’s model went wrong; There is no right model; Examples of a good model (Black-Scholes model of options valuation); limitations of model.. etc..

Great read !

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